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And Then There Were Two

Another story about Kavanaugh sexually assaulting someone has been published.

There's a strange calculation here:

The more K becomes tainted, the more the GOP will turn off voters, which increases the risk that they will lose the Senate, which increases the pressure to get K seated before they lose the chance to seat anyone, which makes them look even worse, which increases the chance they'll lose the Senate. GOTO 10.

Their alternative is to not vote on him, risk their base staying home, but possibly lessen the retaliatory vote, and maybe retaining the Senate to give them another chance to seat someone else after the election.

I think they'll keep the Senate.

But I hope they're losing sleep trying to game this shit out.

How To

A self-published romance writer accused of killing her husband has pleaded not guilty. CBS affiliate KOIN-TV reports that Nancy Crampton-Brophy, 68, was arraigned Monday. Crampton Brophy once penned an essay titled "How to Murder Your Husband."

Sorry Everyone Else

My Spell Of Deflection is working.

Or, it would, if this things wasn't as big as SC, NC and VA combined.

No rain yet, but the wind is picking up. Branches are falling.

Power has flickered a couple of times.

Catastrophic inland flooding?

40" of rain?

Forty inches?????

There's a little metric I like to keep in mind when thinking about rainfall: an inch of rain is equivalent to ten inches of snow.

So... this would be 400 inches of snow. That's over thirty three feet of snow.

We're on a pretty steep hill. So, I'm worried about the slope turning liquid and sending us sliding down into the creek. Or, the trees around the house falling over in the saturated soil.

Sigh.

I feel for the people out in the eastern 1/3 of the state, where the ground is basically flat and the winds will be stronger.