McCain's Chances and Yglesias's Chickens

Matthew Yglesias thinks John McCain is going to lose the election, five months from now, in November. He just can't decide how badly McCain is going to lose. Interesting. It makes me think of chickens.

Fact: Chicken eggs incubate for 20 days.

Therefore: The eggs containing the unhatched chickens Yglesias is counting have not even been laid.

Fact: Chickens reach sexual maturity in 18-24 weeks (4.5 - 6 months).

Therefore: The chickens which will lay the eggs containing the chickens Yglesias is counting may themselves not even be hatched.

Conclusion: Chick-fil-A for lunch!